Indications of Extensive Conspiracy

Part 2: Russia/US Presidential Election: Further indications of extensive conspiracy between Trump’s campaign team and the Kremlin

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Verified
Probable
Unknown
Unlikely
Debunked

This is the second part of a point-by-point review of the Russian dossier compiled by former MI6 agent, Cristopher Steele.

Read Part 1 here.

There was a well-developed conspiracy of co-operation between them and the Russian leadership

PROBABLE

According to CNN, high-level advisers close to then-presidential nominee Donald Trump were in constant communication during the campaign with Russians known to US intelligence.

The dossier was very specific on who was leading the collusion and how the campaign was colluding with Russian intelligence:

This was managed on the TRUMP side by the Republican candidate’s campaign manager, Paul MANAFORT, who was using foreign policy advisor, Carter PAGE, and others as intermediaries.

One email that is now in the possession of Robert Mueller, dated  July 7, 2016, shows Paul Manafort writing to an intermediary of a close Putin ally and Russian aluminum oligarch Oleg Deripaska: “If he needs private briefings we can accommodate.”

At this time there is no evidence in the documents showing that Deripaska received Manafort’s offer or that any briefings took place. Nonetheless, investigators believe that the exchanges, which reflect Manafort’s willingness to profit from his prominent role alongside Trump, created a potential opening for Russian interests at the highest level of a U.S. presidential campaign.

Manafort had been a top adviser to Ukraine’s pro-Russia Party of Regions from 2004 to 2014, whose name appeared on an off-the-books “black” ledger.

Financial records obtained by The Associated Press confirm that at least $1.2 million in payments listed in the ledger next to Manafort’s name were actually received by his consulting firm in the United States, including payments in 2007 and 2009.

Also, President Donald Trump’s now-deputy chief of staff, Rick Dearborn, sent a brief email to campaign officials in June 2016 for an effort to arrange a meeting between Trump campaign officials and Russian President Vladimir Putin.

The Russian regime had been behind the recent leak of embarrassing e-mail messages, emanating from the Democratic National Committee (DNC), to the WikiLeaks platform

VERIFIED

This was another bullseye hit for the dossier.

Months before the United States Intelligence Community had come to the unanimous conclusion in January 2017 that Russia was behind the hacks of John Podesta and the DNC, the Christopher Steele dossier outlined the exact targets and the exact reasoning behind the Democrat hacks.

But the dossier went even further:

The reason for using WikiLeaks was “plausible deniability” and the operation had been conducted with the full knowledge and support of TRUMP and senior members of his campaign team.

It was later revealed by the website, The Smoking Gun, that Trump campaign advisor Roger Stone was having regular communication directly with Guccifer 2.0 over Twitter, and published the direct messages between the two.

Stone denied that Guccifer 2.0 was Russian intelligence, instead tweeting he was a “HERO“. Unfortunately for Stone the United States Intelligence Community concluded in a report that they are certain Guiccifer 2.0, who publicly claimed responsibility, was a Russian intelligence agent or group of agents who were behind the Podesta and DNC hacks and had given the materials to Wikileaks.

Roger Stone also claimed this was the only discussions between him and Guccifer 2.0, but he later let slip that he communicated with the Russians, but just on a more secure platform.

This is evident when Stone tweeted “Trust me, it will soon the Podesta’s time in the barrel”, months after John Podesta’s email was hacked, and about one month before the hacked emails were released, and also telling lunatic conspiracy theorist Alex Jones, “I am assured the mother lode is coming” just days before the documents were made public.

Stone also tweeted after the election that he “had a “perfectly legal back channel to Assange.”

Stone never once alerted law enforcement.

In return the Trump team had agreed to sideline Russian intervention in Ukraine as a campaign issue

VERIFIED

Another bullseye for the dossier, however this was being reported on during the Republican National Convention when the GOP party platform was being debated.

In return the TRUMP team had agreed to sideline Russian intervention in Ukraine as a campaign issue and to raise US/NATO defense commitments in the Baltics and Eastern Europe to deflect attention away from Ukraine, a priority for PUTIN who needed to cauterise the subject.

The intelligence report details that Trump would refrain from speaking forcefully, if at all, during the 2016 presidential campaign about Russia’s 2014 incursion into eastern Ukraine. In return, Russia would provide WikiLeaks the documents it stole from the Democratic National Committee.

First, Donald Trump spoke out many times during the campaign against NATO and our European allies, which baffled many. Making wild claims like how NATO was now “obsolete” and they don’t respect the United States.

Trump even once made the claim that Putin would never invade Ukraine, even though Russian forces have been there for months, even annexing the Crimean peninsula.

Second, the Trump delegation at the convention was quiet on every single platform discussion except this one. This was the only policy position Trump took a stand on and demanded they change their support to deliver “lethal weapons” to Ukraine’s defense of an invading Russia to “provide appropriate assistance”.

The justification for the Republican’s changed position was new though, and put into context that it a complete and surprising reversal from about every other Republican’s position on Ukraine, you can understand how this doesn’t make sense unless the party’s new standard-bearer requested it.

That position, to no longer fully support Ukraine against Russian invaders, is still in the Republican party platform today:

There was some controversy around the time of the Republican National Convention about the accuracy of this report when Trump’s campaign chair Paul Manafort insisted that they weren’t involved. This was despite first hand accounts of Maine delegate Eric Brakey, Texas delegate Diana Denman, and Washington D.C. delegate Rachel Hoff all made public comments that it was the Trump campaign who requested the softer language on Ukraine.

Also, the Trump campaign’s national-security policy representative J.D. Gordon, who attended the subcommittee as an observer, claimed the report was false because he “never left” his “assigned side table, nor spoke publicly at the meeting of delegates during the platform meeting.”

One would think this would all be resolved by looking at the meeting minutes, but they were conveniently discarded.

Luckily, months later J.D. Gordon drastically changed his story to say he did in-fact speak privately with RNC national security subcommittee chairman Steve Yates during the meeting in which the amendment was discussed, and told him that language about providing Ukraine with “lethal defensive weapons” was a “problem” because it broke with Trump’s statements on wanting improved relations with Russia and not wanting to go World War III over Ukraine. He said Yates told him they would have a “robust discussion with delegates, and that was it.”

So there you have it. Trump making good on both promises, which were both major shifts in the Republican platform.

The Russian intelligence network being used against Clinton comprised three elements

VERIFIED UNKNOWN

The dossier detailed three main branches of the Russian intelligence network apparatus, used to attack the 2016 elections.

  1. Moles inside of the Democratic Party feeding intel.
  2. Offensive cyber operators based in the U.S.
  3. State-sponsored cyber operations based in Russia.

Of these three, only the state-sponsored cyber operations has been verified. As we described above, the United States Intelligence Community concluded in a January 2017 report that they are certain Guiccifer 2.0, who publicly claimed responsibility, was a Russian intelligence agent or group of agents who were behind the Podesta and DNC hacks and had given the materials to Wikileaks.

The intelligence flow from the Trump team to Russia concerned the activities of business oligarchs and their families’ activities and assets in the U.S.

UNKNOWN

The dossier reports that the information that Trump was exchanging with Russia mostly included the activities of the Russian oligarch’s activities here in America, which apparently was of great interest to Vladimir Putin.

We do know the Trump campaign attempted to provide Russians with some sort of information, with Manafort emailing Deripaska, “If he needs private briefings we can accommodate.” But there is no evidence what those private briefings would contain.

Unless someone slipped up big, unfortunately this is something we may never confirm, what we do know is that the Trump cam

Negative media publicity surrounding alleged Russian interference in the U.S. election campaign in support of Trump deflected media and the Democrats’ attention away from Trump’s business dealings in China and other emerging markets

UNKNOWN

It’s not known if this was their thinking, but if it was this is really stupid. China is a major trading partner who wasn’t know to be interfering with the United States election, Russia was.

  • Not long after his inauguration, China approved 38 trademarks for Trump, including escort services. Experts point out the unusual speed at which they were approved.
  • Entered a multi-million dollar deal with a Chinese government firm to build part of Trump’s golf course in Dubai, violating Trump’s promise to avoid foreign government transactions while he’s in office.
  • The Bank of China is one of China’s largest banks and also majority state-owned. It holds the title on a $950m loan for a New York Building in which Trump is a part owner.
  • Another largely government-owned Chinese bank – the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China – has space in Trump Tower, paying rent to the Trump Organization.
  • Eric Danziger told a Hong Kong media outlet in October 2016 they wanted to open 20 to 30 hotels in the country in 2017.
  • Jared Kushner, was negotiating a deal with China’s Anbang Insurance Group to redevelop 666 Fifth Avenue in New York City
  • Products made in China for Ivanka Trump’s brand has been increasingly secretive. Information that once routinely appeared in private trade tracking data has vanished, leaving the identities of companies involved in 90 percent of shipments unknown.
  • Four trademarks for a potential casino in Macau.
  • Trump shirts are made in China.
  • Trump suits purchased on Amazon.com were imported from China.
  • Trump eyeglasses are made in China.
  • Several Trump Home items are listed as made or imported from China — mirrors, ceramic vases, wall decorations, kitchen items and lighting fixtures.
  • Trump Hotel pens were made in China.
  • Shampoo, body wash, moisturizers, shower caps, laundry bags, show bags, pet collars, pet leashes and bath towels at Trump hotels are all listed as made in China.

Trump claimed minimal investment profile in Russia

VERIFIED

Donald Trump has claimed many times that he barely has any connections or investment in Russia, and the dossier addresses this claim.

Finally, regarding TRUMP’s claimed minimal investment profile in Russia, a separate source with direct knowledge said this had not been for want of trying. TRUMP’s previous efforts had included exploring the real estate sector in St Petersburg as well as Moscow but in the end TRUMP had had to settle for the use of [REDACTED] rather than business success.

The reality, as we explained in Part 1, is that Trump couldn’t be more wrong. Some of these potential business deals include:

  • In his 1987 book “Art of the Deal”, Trump bragged about closing deals with the Soviet Russian government for a hotel across from the Kremlin/
  • In 1997, Trump talked about plans for a Trump Tower in Moscow.
  • From 2000 to 2010, multiple attempts to licensing his name to hotels in Russia.
  • In 2007, Bayrock organized a potential deal in Moscow between Trump International Hotel and Russian investors.
  • From 2006 to 2008 Trump’s company applied for a number of trademarks in Russia with the goal of real estate developments.
  • In 2008, the Trump Organization announced plans to build residences and hotels in Moscow, St. Petersburg and Sochi, traveling to Russia 18 times.
  • During the 2016 campaign, Trump signed a letter of intent to build a hotel in Moscow, while seeking the highest office in the land.

Since none of the projects panned out, we will probably never know just how big of a carrot the Russians dangled out in front of Trump.

While we don’t know what was redacted, possibly access to Russian banks (the only banks left who would loan a scam-artist like Trump), it’s pretty clear the dossier was covering well-known facts.

Read Part 3.

Resources

How Stone Interacted with Russia’s Guccifer and Wikileaks, Newsweek

How many Trump products were made overseas? Here’s the complete list, Washington Post